Bullies, Bed-Wetters And The Seen vs. The Unseen

Someone recently accused me in comments of being a bully because I call the people who want ongoing lockdowns bed-wetters. That gave me a chuckle, since it’s bed-wetters who want to tell everyone else where they can go, how many people they can be with, which businesses can open, who has to wear masks in which situations, etc. – and they want anyone who defies them arrested. That’s a bully.

Thanks to the bed-wetters, the hysterical response to the coronavirus will likely cause more harm (including more deaths) than the virus itself. Why don’t the bed-wetters see that? I think the best explanation lies in a couple of concepts from disciplines outside medicine.

The first is a concept in software engineering called separation of concerns. In simplest terms, it means each of the major functions of the system lives in its own little code box and is designed and maintained by an expert in that function.

For example, I recently coded a user interface that displays data that’s retrieved from a database by a web service. Someone else coded the web service. And still someone else designed and maintains the database. We don’t need to know much at all about each other’s jobs … and good thing, because the IT field is too huge and too complex for anyone to learn it all.

Most of the time separation of concerns is a good thing in IT.  But sometimes the separation causes problems, such as when a database administrator decides to make changes to a database table, and those changes cause applications to break.

Separation of concerns exists in medicine as well, and that separation can produce lousy treatments. I remember my dad’s cardiologist insisting he MUST TAKE HIS STATINS! because his cholesterol was high. Never mind that Dad was slipping mentally and statins are known to cause cognitive issues. The cardiologist’s only concern was bringing down the cholesterol score. Dad’s brain health wasn’t his concern.

The second concept is from economics: the seen vs. the unseen. The brief explanation is that actions always produce secondary effects — often unseen, and often unwanted.

Suppose we raise the minimum wage to $20 per hour. Some low-skilled people will clearly earn more money. That’s seen. But employers will hire fewer people and, when possible, replace what are now too-expensive employees with kiosks and other technology.

As a result, it will become more difficult for an unskilled person to snag that all-important first job. That’s the unseen. Nobody reports on the people NOT hired because of the new wage. (Thomas Sowell wrote a terrific book on the seen vs. the unseen titled Applied Economics: Thinking Beyond Stage One. Stage One is the seen; the unseen effects show up later.)

If a new virus starts killing people and you ask a pandemic expert – we’ll call him Dr. Foolchi – what to do, he’s likely to recommend shutting down human contact as much as possible. The infection rate may slow down as a result, and in Dr. Foolchi’s area of concern, that means he succeeded.

But here’s the problem: Dr. Foolchi isn’t an expert in economics, or in cancer treatments, or in the effects of stress on heart disease, or in depression. If people lose their jobs, die from cancer that wasn’t detected in time because medical offices were closed, have heart attacks from the stress of being unemployed, or slip into a depression from lack of human contact and begin abusing drugs … well, those aren’t his concerns. So if you’re in a position to set government policy and you ask Dr. Foolchi how to respond to the virus, you need to keep in mind that he probably doesn’t know if a shutdown will create bigger problems than the one it supposedly solves.

Unfortunately, many of those bigger problems fall into the unseen category. Sure, we all know unemployment has spiked since the shutdown – which has prompted many self-righteous ignoramuses to declare I care more about lives than money!  But as many economists have pointed out, it isn’t a matter of lives vs. money. It’s a matter of lives vs. lives, because those unseen effects will kill people.

In a recent post, Dr. Malcolm Kendrick explains how financial stress likely caused a huge spike in heart-disease deaths after the Soviet Union broke apart and millions of people became unemployed.  The lockdowns are causing similar financial stress.  He concludes with this:

We were persuaded into lockdown with the promise that hundreds of thousands of lives could be saved in the UK – and millions worldwide. We were never warned about the many millions of lives that could – and, I fear, will – be lost as a consequence of lockdown. I consider that to be negligent. Especially as, in this case, the patient in question was the entire population of the Earth.

An article in the U.K. Daily Mail offered this warning:

More than 200,000 people could die because of delays in healthcare and other economic and social effects all caused by lockdown, a government report has warned.

The great majority of the deaths – 185,000 – are attributed to an extended wait for treatment in the longer term.

But up to 25,000 deaths would have come in the first six months because of healthcare delays, according to experts at the Department of Health and Social Care, Office for National Statistics, Government Actuary’s Department and the Home Office.

With lockdown measures in place and hospital priorities shifted, patients have likely missed out on life-saving care for heart attacks and strokes and early diagnoses of diabetes and kidney disease.

The University of Oxford discovered just last week that 5,000 fewer heart attack patients had attended hospital between March and May.

Granted, the numbers are speculation. But let’s say the estimate is exaggerated and only half that number will die in the U.K. because of lockdowns. That’s still 100,000 people. As of today, the U.K. is reporting a total of around 46,000 COVID deaths. If 100,000 people die from the unintended, unseen effects of the lockdown, then the lockdown killed twice as many people as the virus itself. That’s a lousy tradeoff.

And there’s this warning from the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy:

According to a modeling analysis commissioned by the Stop TB Partnership, a lockdown that disrupts TB diagnosis, treatment, and prevention services for 2 months, followed by the 2 months it would take to get normal TB services back up and running, could result in a rapidly growing pool of undetected and untreated TB patients. Over the next 5 years, that could produce an additional 1.8 million TB cases and 342,000 deaths globally.

Under a worst-case scenario of a 3-month lockdown and 10-month restoration period, global cases would rise by 6.8 million, with 1.4 million excess deaths, the analysis found.

Hundreds of thousand of deaths – perhaps a million deaths – just from delays in diagnosing and treating tuberculosis. Dr. Foolchi and his colleagues around the world probably didn’t think of that one.  It’s not their area of concern.

And there’s this warning from UNICIF:

An additional 6.7 million children under the age of five could suffer from wasting – and therefore become dangerously undernourished – in 2020 as a result of the socio-economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, UNICEF warned today.

According to an analysis published in The Lancet, 80 per cent of these children would be from sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia. Over half would be from South Asia alone.

The estimated increase in child wasting is only the tip of the iceberg, UN agencies warn. COVID-19 will also increase other forms of malnutrition in children and women, including stunting, micronutrient deficiencies and overweight and obesity as a result of poorer diets and the disruption of nutrition services. UNICEF reports from the early months of the pandemic suggest a 30 per cent overall reduction in the coverage of essential – and often life-saving – nutrition services. In some countries, these disruptions have reached 75 per cent to 100 per cent under lockdown measures.

Now add in the stress and depression caused by the countless small businesses destroyed, the unemployment, the loneliness, etc., etc., and I’d say the cure has been far worse than the disease.

These unintended consequences weren’t caused by the virus. They were caused by the bed-wetter reaction to the virus. They were caused by shutting down major portions of the world economy so we can all shelter in place and be safe and blah-blah-blah.  Early on, when little was known about the rate of infection and death, a temporary lockdown made sense.  But continuing to act as if the coronavirus is airborne AIDS makes no sense whatsoever at this point.

So to all you STAY IN LOCKDOWN UNTIL WE HAVE A VACCINE AND WE’RE SAFE! bed-wetters out there, screw your I care about lives! virtue-signaling. What you mean is that you care about your life.  You don’t care about all the people around the world who will die from what amounts to mass hysteria. You’ll happily sacrifice those people if ongoing lockdowns mean there’s an itty, bitty, tiny reduction in the odds that you (or your 81-year-old grandma) will catch the virus.

If you’re not elderly or fragile from some underlying condition and want us all to stay in lockdown until a vaccine comes along, that means you’re willing to have other people die so you don’t catch a cold.

And if you think I’m a bully for pointing it out and calling you a bunch of bed-wetters, well, I really don’t care.


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101 thoughts on “Bullies, Bed-Wetters And The Seen vs. The Unseen

  1. Björn Hammarskjöld

    One big problem is that we have lost our freedom to the bed-wetters.
    According to the European Union we are free to trevel and liv wherever we want in all countries in the EU
    But now we have a lock-down and are forbidden to travel anywhere in the EU.
    In Sweden we have lost some 6 000 persons due to premature daths. At least 3 000 of these persons could still be alive if we had given the persons falling ill in Covid-19 enough vitamin C and vitamin D3 as proposed by Dr Uffe Ravnskov and Dr Mats Humble in the Swedish Läkartidningen in April and May.
    We also abandoned the elderly in nursing homes, those were the frequent dyers in Sweden. They did nor got access ti ICU care or ventilators or even oxygen was not given them. Those over the age of 90 got alltogether just 3 beds at the ICU. Those over 80 had a death rate of more than 40 % of diagnosed cases while kids and younsters were healthy and did not die. The death rate in Sweden is less than 0.06 % and there are almot no deaths since last week.
    If they hadn’t ordered partial lock down in Sweden we would have been better off than now.
    I Want My Freedom Back!

    Reply
    1. Tom Naughton Post author

      I have a sneaking suspicion we’re reaching a tipping point where ordinary citizens will finally rebel against all this authoritarian nonsense.

      Reply
          1. JillOz

            Disagree. They didn’t WANT to arrest the protesters, they will arrest and are happily arresting those who will protest against lockdown.

            Reply
        1. Jason

          In Victoria, there were plans to protest the lockdown. The police tracked down the organisers and arrested them. The protest never went ahead.

          Reply
          1. Tom Naughton Post author

            Good. Lord. Every time I think the bed-wetters have reached peak stupid, they find a higher peak.

            Reply
      1. Firebird7479

        I hope so, but I am not confident. The left controls the media. All you need to do is take a look at the BLM protests vs. those protests back in the spring when business owners marched to their state capitals. The media praises the BLM movement but openly hope that the small business owners all get Covid and die. The business owners were peaceful, even though many showed up at Gov. Whitless’ steps in Michigan armed. The media portrayed them as gun happy anarchists while the praised the BLM rioters for looting the businesses the former tried to reopen. I think that group — the business owners — have been cowed some. They need to look at JFK’s quote that
        “Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable,” and apply it.

        I was banned on Twitter for using a naughty word to describe CNN’s Ana Navarro, who tweeted out a rather reprehensible comment about the death of Herman Cain and other “MAGAs” and conservatives for catching Covid and dying. She gets to stay. I have to go.

        That is what we are up against. Another reason to go on Parler.

        Reply
    2. Tom Welsh

      Bed-wetters often are themselves bullies.

      I recall that 60 years ago a chess-player who knew Bobby Fischer personally coined a new word to describe him: a “mimophant”.

      Sensitive as a mimosa when it came to his own feelings…

      Sensitive as an elephant when it came to other people’s feelings.

      Fischer certainly wasn’t a “bed-wetter” in Tom Naughton’s sense of the term. But he was a fine example of that ability to feel one’s own pain but not anyone else’s.

      Reply
      1. Tom Naughton Post author

        Excellent point. Decades ago, the great Chicago columnist Sydney Harris wrote a lovely essay explaining that many people he knew who considered themselves “sensitive” were in fact just profoundly self-centered. They were highly “sensitive” to any real or imagined hurt to themselves, but completely unaware of when their words or actions hurt others.

        Reply
      2. Lori Miller

        A similar term is “crybully.” “A person who self-righteously harasses or intimidates others while playing the victim, especially of a perceived social injustice,” from Dictionary.com.

        Reply
  2. Firebird7479

    I grew up with a guy who is a R.N. — completely off the rails with this. Anyone who is a skeptic of “Sound Science” and Fauci vs. the Doctors using HCQ is a MAGA supporter (I never voted for Trump, but I don’t understand what is wrong with making America great). Honestly, this guy should have his license suspended for the things he says about a drug that has worked for 65 years and for many, many treatable conditions. A mutual friend posted a list of those conditions successfully treated with HCQ…and my R.N. friend laughed. Wouldn’t surprise me if he’s taking HCQ as precaution.

    BTW — for 5 months now he’s demanded people wear masks and socially distance — and has scolded anyone for not listening to him — he’s a nurse, y’know — yet last week he posted several photos of a golf outing with his buddies…no masks, no social distancing (the mandate in NJ is masks outdoors when SD cannot be maintained).

    These people are completely lack any self-awareness.

    Reply
    1. Tom Naughton Post author

      Kinda like the governors who order people not to travel to their vacations homes, then travel to their own vacation homes. But the leaves had to be raked, ya see …

      Reply
        1. Firebird7479

          A lot of Fauci’s detractors were Orwelled from YouTube, Facebook and Twitter. Good people with better track records than his, too.

          Reply
          1. Bret

            Hey Tom, is there one in the spam filter from me? I shared a BitChute link, and I am guessing that’s what flagged it

            Reply
  3. Tricia

    Whenever crazy stuff is going on, I find myself coming over to your blog to see if you’ve written about it so I can read the logical point of view. Thank you for taking the time to make these posts. I am not a depressed/anxious person by nature, but I don’t know how much more of these lock downs I can take. I can’t imagine how someone who deals with depression/anxiety on a regular basis is doing right now…not well I presume. I’m no longer living in the States and it’s been crazy watching what is going on from a distance. Hopefully your area isn’t as nuts as some of the others. It has definitely made me rethink where we’re going to live once we return in case something like this happens again.

    Reply
    1. Tom Naughton Post author

      Fortunately, it’s not as crazy here as in New York or New Jersey. I suspect now that some people have watched their governors become tyrants, we’ll get an even bigger flood of escapees from other states.

      Reply
      1. Bret

        Careful, you might need to decontaminate them upon arrival. Fleeing lefties still tend to bring their big govt-loving votes with them.

        Reply
        1. Tom Naughton Post author

          I used to do a comedy tour that went through South Dakota. Love the scenery and the people, but yeah, those are some harsh winters.

          Reply
  4. wayne gage

    Tom, How are your readers being notified? I have not seen you on Facebook or Fat Head page for some time. Your blogs are spot on but if you were to post them on facebook, I suspect they would be classified as hate speech. I get facebook jail quite often, the last time for telling people how to defend themselves against home intruders and invaders. Luckily I get notification of your blogs through e-mail. You do a great service.

    Reply
    1. Tom Naughton Post author

      I post links on to my posts Twitter, which does its own share of censoring, but not as bad as Facebook … yet. I’m disgusted with Facebook. I almost never go there. It’s gone from a marketplace of ideas to a forum run by and for the ‘woke’ crowd. At this point, I want Facebook to fail massively.

      Reply
      1. Bret

        I don’t think Twitter & YouTube are far behind. They’re both happy to censor information that threatens to disrupt the globalists’ sensitive narratives, such as the testimony from the America’s Frontline Doctors presser on HCQ.

        I actually want these Mainline Tech titans to censor as aggressively as they please. That will cause people to abandon them for future alternatives, and they will crumble into complete disrepute (tabloid status) in short order, just like the “mainstream news” disinformation cabal has done.

        With that said, the vast number of Americans who do not seem to understand the importance of challenge to narratives & the fallacies underpinning the facade of authoritative expertise is stunning & sad. It is hard not to blame the people for the decay of society. A jury of citizens voted to execute Socrates, and it seems nothing has changed in 2 1/2 millenia.

        Lastly, I would implore my fellow First Amendment proponents never to lament the disappearance of a controversial video. It will make its way onto BitChute. Here is the America’s Frontline presser btw – https://www.bitchute.com/video/r45E0i6xTVZJ/
        Hopefully we will see a viable alternative for dialogue before long. We had kind of a false start with Parler, but I am sure others will emerge.

        Reply
        1. Tom Naughton Post author

          I sincerely hope Facebook, Twitter and YouTube all end up demonstrating the woke = broke rule. But it won’t happen soon.

          Reply
  5. Jane

    Thank you for pointing this out. Just before the lockdown hit I was diagnosed with a precursor condition to cancer. If this lockdown wasn’t happening I probably would have had many more blood tests, a bone marrow biopsy, and visits. But my super bedwetter doctors don’t want to do these things for fear of “covid”. At this point it is clear to me they just straight up are sacrificing MY health in order to push their “medical people are important” agenda. They can’t (or won’t) admit that covid is not worrisome because it lessens their worth and the money that comes their way. I had a physical on the books for June and my doctor did it by telephone. The only possible point of doing that is to bill for an appointment I really didn’t have. When I asked my doctor how I would get my blood pressure taken she said I should buy a machine at the drug store. I refused and told her I wanted an in person taking of my blood pressure and other vitals. Still haven’t received a time for that. I work in criminal justice and despite our best efforts there are people in prison right now not getting their trials – even if we went back to full speed right now, a 6 month backlog is brutal for a system that was already stressed. Don’t even get me started on how many criminals are not being picked up and put in jail or released from jail due to this speculative panic. No one thinks about the domestic violence wife or child who has to live in isolation with the monster for an extra 6 months. This is all particularly bad considering that my state currently is reporting less than 20 deaths a day with a 10 million person population. Honestly, it is shameful.

    Reply
    1. Tom Naughton Post author

      Yup. All the unseen effects of the mass hysteria and lockdowns are adding up to being a helluva lot worse than the virus.

      Reply
  6. Mike Cortopassi

    Tom, I’ve been at work every day since the beginning. Essential business. As I understand it, Covid certainly is killing people, and seemingly leaving some in a bad state, possibly permanently — and I do not know how that compares to the regular flu. Personally, I have not much worried about it, but it also makes no big deal to me to wear a mask. I really wish kids could go back to school, but I also understand the concern of some teachers as well.

    But the one thing I have to harp on is the US response. If there was literally one president who may have had the balls to actually institute something like Sweden, or do a better job of getting the unsensationalized data out, it would seem that person would have been Trump. But he’s gone from minimizing it, to disappearing, to coming back saying it will get worse before it will get better. And doing things like retweeting a video with the doctors whose spokeslady has a lot of off the wall beliefs. Seems something like that should have been vetted up front and pick some reputable doctors, of which I am sure exist that think Covid is overblown.

    Can you explain his response?

    Reply
    1. Tom Naughton Post author

      Nope, can’t explain what Trump is thinking. I wish he’d adopted the Swedish plan immediately and told the bed-wetter media (who would have then blamed him for every COVID death) to go stuff themselves.

      People dying and being left in a bad state permanently also happens with the flu. At this point, the death rate has plummeted to the point where we can even compare it to flu season anymore.

      The concern of the teachers seems to be more political than anything. Unless they’d elderly (and therefore should be retired) they’re at no more risk than during previous flu seasons … and the kids sure as hell aren’t at risk.

      Reply
      1. Joe M

        I’ve been a fan for years – I would identify myself as somewhat left-wing, but I know bologna when I see it.

        I work for a public school system as an administrator – I don’t understand the hyper-politicization of the “reopening schools” argument, where the re-openers are seen as “conservative” and the lockdowners are seen as “liberal.” Isn’t public schooling an essential government service? Don’t we empower kids to read and write so they can get jobs and be successful? Isn’t school supposed to be a safe place for kids where they can be supervised and get a meal? What about equity concerns? People who champion something that is provided by the government AND is mandatory to do are generally not conservative.

        We have made schooling compulsory for decades, most people who work in education lean left-wing, and now they don’t want to open schools, which is the cause we are supposed to champion? What?

        The more this goes on, the more I realize that school systems simply don’t want to spend the money to actually make a difference or accept the liability of reopening. When presented with the opportunity to tutor or teach privately, they do it…and I don’t blame them. School systems are afraid to commit. It’s heartbreaking.

        (BTW: Writing this while sitting at work. I am the only person here.)

        Reply
        1. Tom Naughton Post author

          It’s crazy how politicized this issue has become. I wish the U.S. had adopted the Swedish model early on instead of allowing politicians to get drunk on their power to shut things down.

          I believe the teachers unions are shooting themselves in the foot with their wackadoodle demands. Those of us who’ve been arguing for years that teachers are primarily left-leaning could hardly have asked for a clearer demonstration we were right all along. This could prompt a lot of people to rethink issues like school choice.

          Reply
    2. Bret

      Mike, I am by no means an expert on Trump’s psychology or sense of strategy, but here are my thoughts FWIW:

      It seemed several months ago that Trump was ready to forge ahead with a minimally invasive policy and allow us to go through the jarring but necessary discomfort of developing herd immunity and then get on with our lives. However, he saw that the entire globalist cabal, through its lapdog news media & social media companies, were making virus hysteria their #1 priority, and were aided by the optics of numerous respectable foreign nations & especially the authoritarian deep state represented by the likes of Fauci, with the American people’s demonstrable naïveté on full display for exploitation.

      As much as I would like to believe Trump could successfully stiff-arm these tidal forces, it’s not a realistic expectation. The Democrats and all their buddies have snapped their pool cues into sharp bayonets, and in their desperation they are showing no restraint whatsoever going into this November.

      However, this is not grounds for pessimism. Quoted (and clipped for length) from a fantastic essay, which I will link at the end:

      How did Trump meet this seemingly unsurmountable challenge posed by the overwhelmingly powerful enemies united to destroy him by destroying the US economy?

      He met with this challenge with his characteristic strategic genius by turning the crisis into an opportunity.

      Trump declared a national emergency and took control of the Federal Reserve. With the Defense Production Act, he created an innovative government-private business cooperation structure, including the medical-pharmaceutical industry and radically restructured and reengineered the national emergency response mechanism (against future pandemic and bioweapon attack). The medical-pharma companies now work for him with their accountability made visible and with government agencies that have become functional and efficient in order to keep up with the private industry.

      With the “Operation Warp Speed” the medical pharmaceutical companies are working under the Trump Administration, not under Bill Gates or WHO and other globalist health organizations…while Trump emphasizes the new “therapeutics” more than the new “vaccines”. The pharmaceutical industry, with the MSM, resisted the wide use of hydroxychloroquine (+ zinc) because it is a cheap medicine and they will not profit from it, but Trump has continued to promote it. Let us see what they come up with but I am confident that the vaccine will never be made mandatory and the new lines of pharmaceutical products they produce will be made available in a non-zero-sum game way between the industry and the consumers.

      With the Operation Warp Speed, Trump is also bringing back, mainly from China, the drug production and manufacturing to the U.S. so that the U.S. will be self-sufficient in its medical and pharmaceutical supply chains. His strategic intent is to achieve a total economic self-sufficiency across all industries and to realize a complete political and economic sovereignty. For this reason, it is more accurate to call his philosophy “sovereignism” than nationalism.

      The essay is about Trump’s magnificent Batman-like brain, the multiple layers of an effective transformational strategy on the national level (necessarily including widespread deception to sidetrack his enemies), and the application of these in the long-term war he is embroiled in with the deep state & globalists, including the gradual strategic collapse of the Federal Reserve, the globalists’ primary tool for enslaving the earth. Definitely worth a good read, or two.

      https://www.facebook.com/notes/yasuhiko-genku-kimura/trump-and-the-art-of-war/10157715288169856/

      Reply
  7. Justin

    I do appreciate that you use statistics and science to provide what amounts to (but maybe shouldn’t) an alternate take. I credit your movie with starting me on my journey into learning why what I’m doing nutritionally wasn’t killing me, and to a lesser extent, how science is supposed to work. However, I think that the people who are calling you a bully may be dong so, not because of the statistics and math behind your argument, but based on seemingly-unnecessary personal attacks and name-calling. It’s not just limited to conservatives using terms like “libtards” and “bed-wetters”. For example, even though I largely don’t agree with many thing’s he’s done, when liberals make fun of Trump’s hair, skin, or whatever, I also find that unnecessary. It doesn’t help a scientific or political argument ring more true or seem more factual to resort to this.

    Reply
    1. Tom Naughton Post author

      I don’t call people libtards. I call the STAY IN LOCKDOWN UNTIL IT’S SAFE! crowd bed-wetters because I think the term perfectly captures their irrational hysteria and my contempt for that irrational hysteria. If they chose to isolate themselves and left the rest of us alone, I wouldn’t care. But the bed-wetters want to force the rest of us to live according to their hysterical fear. So as far as I’m concerned, they deserve the contempt.

      Reply
  8. Mike G

    Hi Tom,

    Well – it finally happened. My teaching job was eliminated. The stated reason was lowered enrollment, and had nothing to do with my teaching of low-carb nutrition or my skepticism of Sars CoV2 hysteria. No way to prove it, of course. But it makes you wonder… So I’ll be working part-time jobs to avoid spending my savings. Perhaps I’m better off not working for educational, er, indoctrinational institutions anymore.

    Reply
    1. Tom Naughton Post author

      Sorry to hear it. If the lockdowns keep going, eventually even the STAY IN LOCKDOWN crowd will start losing their jobs. Then we’ll see how quickly they change their minds.

      Reply
  9. Tom Welsh

    “Sure, we all know unemployment has spiked since the shutdown – which has prompted many self-righteous ignoramuses to declare I care more about lives than money!”

    Such people could set a good example by giving up their own income, and donating it to hospitals.

    Reply
    1. Tom Naughton Post author

      Yeah, I’ve yet to hear from a bed-wetter whose business failed or who lost a good job, but nonetheless wants the lockdowns to continue. This is a genuine cases of the haves vs. the have-nots, and the people who supposedly care about the have-nots are now quite happy to let them suffer financially.

      Reply
        1. Tom Naughton Post author

          Considering that Ferguson has a long history of wildly overestimating deaths from this-or-that, it’s a wonder anyone listened to him on this.

          Reply
  10. Robert

    And a new low from the “x spurts,” x being an unknown quantity and spurt being a drip under pressure, Dr Birx is now recommending we wear full face shields in addition to masks. It was so dutifully reported by Wolf Blitzer of Communist News Network. Vision of the Anointed again, if the Grand Plan fails it can only be for one or more of three reasons. 1. The Plan was good, but people didn’t follow it correctly because they’re stupid. 2. The Plan was good, but was undermined by evil people who oppose it. (Non mask-wearers and non social-distancers and people who oppose lockdowns for example could qualify for both of the first two reasons.) Or 3. The Plan didn’t go far enough. So we need to do the same thing again, only bigger. (Masks didn’t work, so let’s add a full face shield. Hell let’s all walk around in Hazmat suits. That’ll go over real well in the 90+ degree heat and oppressive humidity of southern Alabama.)

    Reply
      1. Firebird7479

        On the plus side, with face shields at least we should be able to go eating at Chinese buffets (the ones that don’t serve bats).

        Reply
        1. Tom Naughton Post author

          If I went to a Chinese buffet, I’d need to shield to prevent me from sticking the rice in my mouth. I can handle (according to a glucose meter) some carbs, but not rice. A little bit of the stuff sends my glucose into the stratosphere.

          Reply
          1. Firebird7479

            Off topic (only because you mention rice…which I eat cold)…have you read/reviewed Ted Naiman’s P:E Diet book? I don’t recall if you did. Then again with this pandemic I couldn’t tell you the starting line up of the Phillies right now.

            I picked it up. Interesting but it involves math.

            Reply
            1. Tom Naughton Post author

              I’ve seen Ted speak and read about the diet on his site. I have the math set up in a spreadsheet. I don’t track myself every day, but at least a few days per week I make sure my protein/energy ratio is above 1.0.

  11. Nikki

    While I do think that the cure may be worse than the disease here, what I haven’t seen addressed are the potential long term health consequences of having covid. That’s the big topic of conversation in my local area.

    The narrative has definitely changed many times. At first it was “we can’t overwhelm the healthcare system.” Then it became “we need to flatten the curve to save lives.” And, now it is “if you catch covid you will never be healthy again, so we need to stay away from everyone until it’s safe.”

    The other point I see people make whenever the idea that these lockdowns are worse than the disease is that people who are wanting the lockdowns to end never cared about unemployment or mental health before. Which, sadly, that definitely does seem to have been the case. Mental health care in this country has always been a disaster, but no one cared. Now, suddenly, depression and suicided are major issues? It is awfully convenient.

    Reply
    1. Tom Naughton Post author

      I would disagree that those who want to end the lockdowns never cared about unemployment before. What the people saying that actually mean is that conservatives aren’t in favor of federal unemployment benefits that go on and on and on, which true. The liberal definition of “we care” is to throw huge amounts of taxpayer dollars at the problem, thus turning more people into government dependents, as opposed to addressing the cause of the problem, which is often government itself. That’s why the conservative approach to unemployment is to remove the governmental barriers to businesses and jobs being created. As you may recall, before the whole COVID hysteria, unemployment had reached record low levels, including record low levels for blacks. A job is much more beneficial to both the country and the individual than an unemployment check.

      Yes, I’ve seen how the argument keeps changing, and now it’s all about the possible long-term damage of a severe COVID infection. What they’re not telling you (and many of them probably don’t know) is that severe flu causes similar long-term damage:

      https://yle.fi/uutiset/osasto/news/swine_flu_caused_permanent_lung_damage_in_some/5488993

      https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0945053X18301458

      https://www.mdlinx.com/article/5-surprising-serious-cold-and-flu-complications/2RIynpqlR8Jo4EZElIIRmh

      https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-017-17497-6

      Reply
      1. Nikki

        Thanks for the links! This is exactly the kind of stuff I feel I need to be armed with to combat the hysteria around covid. People act as though no other sickness has long term effects, which I figured was not true but didn’t have anything to back up that claim.

        I’m extremely sick of being told I’m reckless for sending my daughter to daycare so I can work. I guess a lot of people would prefer I shut my business down and take jobs away from the 23 people I employ in the process. It honestly makes no sense.

        I’m so sick of how twisted all of this has become. I just saw on the news that children can have very high viral loads of covid. Nowhere did they mention whether this translates to actually spreading the virus or even having symptoms. Most people in my town who saw that news article are using it as a reason to keep schools entirely virtual this year. No one is bothering to think about anything or ask any questions. It’s very frustrating.

        Reply
        1. Tom Naughton Post author

          Even if COVID were the first flu-like illness to produce long-term effects, that wouldn’t justify lockdowns that clearly aren’t doing diddly to stop the disease. As I’ve saying since April, the virus is here, it’s not going away, and it’s going to spread. We can’t stop it, but we can sure as heck send a lot of people into bankruptcy via lockdowns.

          Reply
      2. Bret

        In a way the excessive federal unemployment supplement is to blame for the prolonged lockdowns.

        People with no incentive to go back to work (in this case making more $$ on unemployment than at their job) are not going to put any pressure whatsoever on politicians to end the lockdowns.

        With no purpose to fulfill via a job & virtually no recreational outlets, young energetic people might turn to unproductive activities, such as rioting, looting, & clamoring for Marxism over a racial justice narrative that the media brainwashed them into believing despite not really existing on any factual, logical, or objective basis.

        The globalists’ agenda is crystal clear: Breed a population full of zombies that cannot think or act for themselves & will therefore be totally dependent on a small handful of corporations & the government for their survival & entertainment.

        Fortunately there are true patriots working to dismantle this system behind the scenes. I can only hope & pray they succeed, because they are facing unimaginable odds.

        Reply
  12. Karen

    Is anyone starting to wonder if these *bed wetters* are actually legit? I am. I am starting to wonder if a lot of the hysteria I see on line aren’t *people* purchased from off shore to post on facebook and message boards that this covid is “serious”. I often find that the bedwetters are (1) irrational, (2) unwilling to give the smallest concession, and (3) prolific… meaning they seem to be up and talking 12 to 18 hours a day. I am wondering if the media, some in the medical profession and off shore influences are not trying to extend the economic damage and get Trump out of office. Should that sound crazy I started watching a movie on Netflix about how media can be manipulated and now it has me thinking. It isn’t like law enforcement (crippled as it is) would really be able to crack down on this too much. Next time you meet someone on a message board see if they have been posting there long or just signed up. I wouldn’t be surprised if this is why “Yahoo” took their comments down.

    Reply
    1. Tom Naughton Post author

      I have no doubts at this point that the bed-wetter media are ginning up hysteria over COVID because they think it harms Trump. CNN is fond of running scrolling headlines along the lines of TRUMP DOES [FILL IN BLANK] EVEN AS COVID CASES CONTINUE RISING. They’ve become a parody of a news organization.

      Reply
          1. Firebird7479

            Back in December, I went cross country, round trip on Amtrak (seems like a lifetime ago). In the dining car, I was seated with a couple from Kansas for breakfast. Like me, they both have a background in broadcasting and journalism. The husband teaches it at the college level, the wife worked several years for Oprah then moved on to CNN. She lasted less than a year. Awful place to work. She has her own podcast now on interior decorating. Less stressful, no doubt and she was fortunate she was able to leave without the stupid rubbing off.

            Reply
    2. Nikki

      Unfortunately the people who are hysterically afraid of the virus are very much real. At least in my area they are. All of my friends are very afraid. I follow a facebook group for my town which, prior to covid was a great source of information on local businesses, and the people posting have not changed. It’s the same people that previously were complaining about coyotes and recommending tree removal services that are now clamoring to ensure we cannot have any in-person school in the fall.

      At the end of the day, people are very much afraid in my area. If you’re not afraid you are definitely going to be judged harshly for that. Going out in a large gathering is a huge sin around here. Unless it’s a BLM protest and you’re wearing a mask below your nose. That’s okay.

      Reply
      1. Tom Naughton Post author

        Yup, the hysteria is real. One of Ivor’s guests mentioned young people who were interviewed and asked how many of their school mates they thought would die of COVID. Some answered “dozens,” even though the factual answer is “none.”

        Reply
  13. Suzanne Looms

    How disappointing. I thought you were an intelligent and thoughtful human being. Now you descend to abuse rather than reasoned argument, both against an expert and readers.

    Tony Fauci is NOT advocating lockdown. He talks about wearing masks and maintaining physical distance. He has been consistent about this.

    Maybe you and your loved ones have not been affected by SARS CoV2. Death is NOT the only risk. I meet people who have had mild symptoms and now struggle with long term chest problems and chronic fatigue that seriously limits what they can do. One of our UK experts reports that his wife had a heart attack and the cardiologist said it was a consequence of Covid 19 (endothelial damage and clots in the heart). She had no noticeable symptoms. These are not RARE occurrences.

    Sadly you’re sounding like a Trump supporter and science denier.

    Reply
    1. Tom Naughton Post author

      Science denier? Don’t make me laugh. I’ve been analyzing and posting charts of the actual data and interviews with actual scientists. “Denier” is the weak-ass term people throw out when they promote junk science and those of us blessed with a healthy skepticism point out why it’s junk science. It’s a lame attempt to link people who disagree with you to Holocaust deniers.

      No, Fauci hasn’t been consistent. In January, he was saying this virus isn’t going to be problem for the United States. At some point later, he said masks weren’t necessary or useful. He’s been all over the map. And yes, he’s called for reimposing lockdowns.

      https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-fauci/fauci-says-states-seeing-surge-in-covid-19-cases-should-reconsider-some-lockdown-measures-idUSKCN24Z2DT

      Yes, COVID can produce permanent effects. So can the flu. I linked to articles on those permanent effects elsewhere in comments. Those permanent effects in no way prove we need lockdowns or masks, since those haven’t been shown to do anything.

      An intelligent and thoughtful human being would look at the data — such as the data showing that Peru (hard lockdown since March) has a higher death rate than Brazil (no lockdown), or the latest data from Sweden — and conclude that the lockdowns aren’t helping but are definitely producing terrible unintended effects.

      Apparently you’re upset that I mentioned that unemployment reached record lows, including for blacks, before COVID hysteria led to lockdowns. That is a simple statement of fact — and I never mentioned Trump at all. If a simple statement of fact triggers you, that’s your problem to deal with.

      Reply
    1. Tom Naughton Post author

      Gave the full study a quick look. The researchers selected 100 patients who fit this description:

      Recent recovery from severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection, as determined by reverse transcription–polymerase chain reaction on swab test of the upper respiratory tract.

      Of those, 78 were found to have cardiac abnormalities or inflammation. I assume the 100 people all sought treatment and therefore don’t represent all people who catch the virus. The authors wrote this, in fact:

      Our study has limitations. The findings are not validated for the use in pediatric patients 18 years and younger. They also do not represent patients during acute COVID-19 infection or those who are completely asymptomatic with COVID-19.

      I didn’t see the word “permanent” anywhere in the full study, so I don’t know if that’s Newsweek’s interpretation or what they were told by the study authors. The authors included this in their study, which suggests they don’t know what the long-term outcome will be:

      These findings indicate the need for ongoing investigation of the long-term cardiovascular consequences of COVID-19.

      Poking around the internet, I found articles about how influenza can cause heart issues as well, such as this one:

      https://www.heart.org/en/news/2018/11/09/flu-activity-brings-a-rise-in-heart-failure-hospitalizations

      My guess is that any medical condition that puts the body under stress can impact the heart.

      Reply
        1. Tom Naughton Post author

          I don’t know if hydroxychloroquine is effective or not, but seeing how quickly the medical establishment lined up against it — including that study The Lancet had to retract — I have my suspicions about their motivations.

          Reply
          1. j

            Trump suggested HCQ might be a useful treatment
            And
            A full course of HCQ costs $15 while a full course of Remdesivir costs $4,500.

            Probably says it all.

            Reply
  14. Natalia Siegert

    This is fantastic. Thank you for presenting this information in a factual manner that allows people to draw their own conclusions. I love the humor which is therapeutic in these insane times. When I talk to regular people, they do not share the views the media espouses. They don’t even share the views of the crazy people on social media. Normal people are normal and thank goodness for that! Keep up the good work, I will be reading and sharing with friends. Fat heads unite!

    Reply
    1. Tom Naughton Post author

      Thank you. I believe there are still plenty of sane, rational people out there … just not in the media.

      Reply
  15. Nan

    Looking at World-o-Meter today you can see a few trends. 1. the number of positive cases has fallen dramatically — at one point in the 70Ks and now in the 50Ks; 2. The number of “severe / serious” cases remains at 18K. This gives everyone a hint that deaths are not going to rise dramatically in the next few weeks; 3. Overall, for the world the death rate just dropped from 6% to 5%. That doesn’t seem like much but the way they calculate it from “resolved cases” has had that number much higher and it is likely to go much lower. No one rational can look at this information and not see things getting better.

    Reply
  16. Robert

    The ‘rona has caused many of these blue state governors to become mini dictators. For example, His Royal Highness King Newsom in the People’s Republic of California has decreed that he will shut off electricity, water, and other utilities to people who have “large gatherings” in their homes. And he also encourages people to rat them out. This is appalling. This is the United States of America, not North Korea.

    Reply
    1. Rona

      Yes in my state my governor has put back restrictions — he says — due to a surge in the rona. What is he talking about? His “surge” is going from about 200 cases per day to 300 a few times last week. This happens at the same time that they have opened up a “free” drive thu corona testing site in my large population town. That alone could have added 300 cases from people that didn’t have any symptoms but figured why not get tested. Any excuse at all to put “restrictions” in place. This will include reducing the size of gatherings from 100 to 50, with fines enforced by police. Meanwhile people are being shot left and right in the cities and there is a story in the paper about a rapist released due to the rona who went right back out and offended immediately. Sure you won’t get the rona but you could end up dead or assaulted by the criminal released due to this “pandemic” – but the police will be out fining for the rona.

      Reply
  17. Charles-André Fortin

    What make me sad the most in this situation is to see how few people understand how science work. They don’t understand the pyramid of evidence… They also don’t know the relative strength between studies… For example, many of the “new” evidence on mask are in fact case studies and observational studies… And thanks to “Lies damn lies and medical science” and a certain video (science for smart people) I know it isn’t worth shit… That’s why I base my opinion on nothing less then clinical trial, now. At least I get around 80% chance of getting it right.

    As for the mechanical evidence, I remember what happen with the replacement hormonal therapy example you gave… There was huge mechanical evidence that it should lower cancer… Heck even proof via observational data and yet when it still gave cancer to a lot of women. 🙁 I’m gonna paraphrase Gabor Erdosi who once said on facebook, you can always find a mechanical evidence that fit your theory.

    Reply
  18. Firebird7479

    I don’t know if anyone has joined Parler yet…conservative version of Twitter. They don’t take things down there but you’ll learn very fast that the right have as many bedwetters. You’d be amazed at the number of people who have blocked me on that platform because of a couple of comments I made that go against their narrative.

    Freedom of speech…as long as it agrees with what I say…

    Reply
  19. Paula Wisor

    Great post, Tom, as usual. My husband and I have been seeing and saying all the same things since March…and highly suspected back in February that we would be where we are right now. I appreciate all the work you do to help us understand what is and has been going on regarding the lockdowns. I’m wondering, though you’ve touched on it, if you were interested in doing a post specifically on the subject of masks. The discussion is all over the map on this as well, and I would love to see real data and discussion regarding their actual contribution, positive or negative, to Covid.

    Reply
    1. Tom Naughton Post author

      I’ve been gathering info for another post that would include my opinion of masks. I’m swamped with work these days, so it’s question of finding time to write it.

      Reply
    1. Tom Naughton Post author

      It’s been a disappointment to watch. For a guy who writes so much about unexpected and unintended consequences, he seems oddly unconcerned about the unintended effects of lockdowns.

      Reply

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